2 High-Probability Strategies for Easy Income

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Comments

1. The below lady Is using Sharron Bags identity frauding the pubilc on Binary Options, she is wanted by the British Intelligent Bereau for scams. She and her collegues has decieved so many. lying about making 5000 pound a week. She is under investigation. So please be careful out there. There is no software that tell you what to pick on Binary Options. Don't be fooled.
   This is Detective Sarp a COMPUTER SCIENTIST., LONDON METROPOLITAN.
2. two strike widen is too risky for me. i choose one strike widen
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6. I'm confused though. In the first example he has a 80% chance of being successful, but only makes 14-15% profit. Wouldn't you need to consistently make over 21% profit @ a 80% win rate to do more than break even?
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9. Great video. I have one question. If I sell necked puts or call way OTM do I need to cover it before it time expire or I kept the credit if it does not touch my strike price.
10. Don't be deceived!!! if you must be successful in making winning on your trades without any termination from your broker then apply the cheat on your account, get your trading account, synchronized, apply MT4 configuration, use UIC Deposit method, use the dynamic interface platform, and apply advance trading apps. once this is done, your broker can not stop your winnings..
    McDevid Walter
11. GREAT video! Thanks. 
12. Homework = results. This has nothing to do with heads or tails ( gambling) ass-wipe.
    not really good examples and not worth leaving swing trading.
13. I mean on expiration date for August:
    
    "Apple's (AAPL) stock rose as high as $648.19, besting the previous high set in April, before closing the day just a few cents lower at $648.11. The company's shares blew through a series of record highs in the first four months of the year, but had then been in a funk since May, when Apple reported that its iPhone sales had plateaued."
    
    August , 17 (money.cnn.com)
    
    This trade made the maximum amount of profit that the Bull Put Spread strategy had to offer. All it had to do was close above or at 545, and it did.
14. The proof is in the pudding, check out the Apple quote of mid Sept 2012 and we can see if this proved to be a winning trade or not.
15. This strategy makes a lot of sense, thank you.
16. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
17. Let's analyze the hypothetical trade example given to determine what the math says about this example and what your expected return over 100 trades will be:
    
    Using the quotes on the platform visible at 24:33, the spread collects a credit of $0.25 and the probability that it will expire OTM is79.43%.
    
    So
    
    79.43 * $0.25 = $19.8575. This is the total expected profit out of 100 trades if the spread expires worthless (max profit possible)
    
    
    Max risk on this spread is $1.75, and the probability of a max loss is 15.18% (100% - 84.82%) using the probability OTM of the 69 strike put
    
    So
    
    15.18 * $1.75 = $26.565. this is the total expected LOSS out of 100 trades if the spread expires at max value (max loss possible)
    
    
    So clearly, we know at this point that the expected outcome of the best case vs. worst case scenarios leaves us with an expected outcome of a
    LOSS of -$6.7075. It would therefore be statistically better to have purchased the put spread in this particular example because, although it would expire worthless 79.43% of the time, the gains made when it expires at max value 15.18% of the time would more than make up for the losses. This conclusion is based
    upon the probabilities and prices presented in the example credit spread trade.
    
    Lastly, let's deal with the remaining probability scenarios.
    
    If we do the math, we can deduce that there is a remaining 5.38% of expected outcomes that has yet to be accounted for (our max loss and max gain
    scenarios totaled 79.43% plus 15.18% equals 94.61%, and 100% minus 94.61% equals 5.38%).
    
    Now, since in a credit spread trade our max profit is fixed, then we know we cannot make more then $0.25 profit on this credit spread since
    that is the credit we received upon entry. Athough there are a range of possible outcomes that could occur other than a max profit or max loss,
    we do know for sure that since our highest potential profit in this example is $0.25, then it is impossible to have a positive expected outcome
    by selling credit spreads at the prices and probabilities that this example presents. In other words, even if we collected a maximum profit
    of $0.25 over the remaining 5.38% of outcomes, this would only equal an additional gain of $1.345 (5.38 * $0.25 = $1.345). Clearly this will
    still result in a negative expected return over 100 trades since the total of the max losses MUST exceed the total of all possible gains with the
    given the prices and probabilities of this options spread in this example.
18. What stocks do you recommend for a small account trading options?
19. How long did it take you to start earning cash online? I've recently begun making $100 on a daily basis, working one hour a day utilizing Wired Income Package. Google it.