Investing Ep. 2: Crude Oil Analysis | BeatTheBush

How and when to invest in crude oil or gasoline. Disclaimer here is that there are just some of my personal ideas, you should seek your financial advisor to determine if investing in oil or the fund I recommend is right for you. Ultimately, this is a financial asset and it may increase or decrease in value. In this video, I propose some points to consider when predicting the future prices. One obviously cannot predict the future price at any particular time with a high certainty. Therefore, I revert to predicting that it may go up in a broad time frame. Of course, my prediction may not come true so we will see what happens 2 to 5 years from now. My final prediction in IXC is for it to recover from $25 back to about $40. It is currently $30 so this is about a 33% gain in 2 to 5 years. Sounds good on paper but only time will tell where it will go. The reason I am bullish on this stock is due to the cyclical behavior that appears to always happen. The oil industry goes through boom and bust stages and this could be no different. Of course, various factors COULD cause a prolonged stagnation of the price which would cause the investment to not have any gains. My estimate is for a slow to medium speed recovery. You may wonder why invest in this if it ONLY gives 33% in 2 to 5 years? That is relatively little appreciation compared to a different asset. The reason is about confidence level. My confidence level is high but not 100%. It is certainly higher than many other assets I have seen. When it comes down to it, if I were to hedge against gasoline prices going from $2 currently to $4 in the future, I would be happy to pay $2 in the future. Or, if I invest enough, I would be paying $2/gal for the rest of my life. Now, if gasoline plummets down to $1/gal, then I would be loosing money and overpaid for my hedging activities. My thinking is that oil price has a high certainty of increasing in price in the 2 to 5 year term. Hence, the IXC ETF investment should be a good one. Of course, do your own research and do not overly concentrate all your assets even though the ETF is a fund comprising of many companies in itself. . Support more videos like this along with getting a bunch of perks here: http://www.patreon.com/BeatTheBush Get a free audiobook and 30-day trial. Even if you cancel, you still keep the book and you still support my channel for signing up. Support my channel by signing up to help me make more videos like this: http://www.audibletrial.com/BeatTheBush Credit Card for Starters Who Should NEVER Get a Credit Card: https://youtu.be/aNYZkMgTyb0 Only Use Credit or Only Use Debit: https://youtu.be/J0ZRgBIG39Q Credit Card Basics How Credit Card Calculates Interest: https://youtu.be/0Z2nWQdqa2A How Credit Card Grace Periods Work: https://youtu.be/8WuH3-PsjCA Difference Between Credit Card Inactivity and 0% Utilization: https://youtu.be/rtfJMZf_IrM Credit Card Statement Closing Date vs. Due Date: https://youtu.be/3-knvT7JbTk Does Canceling Credit Cards Affect Credit Score: https://youtu.be/jYGZukw5i-Q Can You Afford a No Limit Credit Card: https://youtu.be/sdAh7hzgJoU Credit Card Balance Transfer Hack: https://youtu.be/F2Foqg2ZTEw Credit Score Less Than 700 Maximize Credit Score while in College: https://youtu.be/pxGECoQoLLA Build Credit Fast with a $500 Credit Limit: https://youtu.be/attQKzngqoE How to Pay off Credit Card Debt: https://youtu.be/XY8YSPapnF8 How to Build Credit with Bad Credit or No Credit [w/ Self Lender]: https://youtu.be/RNXutBGAnlM How to Boost Your Credit Score Within 30 Days: https://youtu.be/LyBjciz4-zg Credit Score More Than 700 How to Increase Credit Score from 700: https://youtu.be/MCFKNBcyAWs 740+ is Not Just For Show: https://youtu.be/1fGcpxurzgU My Credit Score: 848, How to get it Part 1: https://youtu.be/dEZLZQXRBjQ My Credit Score: 848, How to get it Part 2: https://youtu.be/Y6-SB35C7Pc My Credit Score: 848 - Credit Card Hacks and How I got it: https://youtu.be/8Xz3hi3VWfM Advanced Credit Card Tricks How to get a Business Credit Card: https://youtu.be/S3srld5_l5Y Keep 16 Credit Cards Active: https://youtu.be/yAzkEK8Y6E8 Rejected for a New Credit Card with 826 Credit Score: https://youtu.be/66O505Oj5e4 Make Credit Cards Pay You Instead: https://youtu.be/wKMJdX1fQJA Credit Card Low Balance Cancellation $2 per mont [Still Works]: https://youtu.be/2DJjfvcMCcg Other Channels: BeatTheBush DIY: https://www.youtube.com/BeatTheBushDIY

Comments

1. 88 Energy is a good stock to get into now.
   
   Based in Alaska. About to prove up 2.5 billion barrels of oil around July this year.
   
   A penny stock that will go up 20x or more within a year.
2. also since obama lifted export ban on iran ,Iran(shiate muslim) is trying to gain market share from Saudi (sunni Muslim) backed traditionaly by U.S.A geopolitics. they dnt gree with each other. US has found more oil in Alaska to feed controversial pipe line via canada to the golf.fracking will also will be more efficient. exon has found oil in guyana of south america. it all come back to politics if USA changes the law decides to export oil.that will be a diferent story
   
   But I agree with you population is growing and demand will increase
3. dont etf's have daily fees so investing in IXC might cost more than you gain??? back in 2008 2009 any investments in etfs didnt go so well for me... using technical TA ixc is in a short term downtrend and from what i know about most etfs they have slippage and all eventually head towards zero over time anywyas
4. What's your thoughts on penny stocks????
5. Thanks for the vid, but I think you are missing the point when you said Saudi Arabia is purposely over supplying the market to drive out the US oil producers. Saudi Arabia is actually fighting for market share regardless of price. Why? Because in 1986 Saudi Arabia reduced a big chunk of its oil production to balance out the low oil prices back then, but guess what happened, other oil producing countries jumped in and increased oil production to fill in for Saudi Arabia. It took Saudi Arabia years after that mistake to recover their market share. That is the whole story. No conspiracy theories, no games under the table, nothing at all in that department. I am an engineer at Saudi ARAMCO and see things from inside. Good luck!
6. Great stuff man, keep up the quality content!
7. Another great video - thanks!
8. You already diversified your risks by going ETF. Why don't you hedge your bets as well? Find a fund that is specific to oil usage. They would buy into things such as refineries or airlines. They are the big consumers of oil that are currently the "winners" in the low oil price environment. Then you balance out the two and get a targeted, desired, margin in between.