Is Historical Volatility Useful to Options Traders? [STUDY]



Options traders typically focus on implied volatility, as it forecasts the future price range of a stock (based on the stock's option prices). Historical volatility is the standard deviation of a stock's past returns and is therefore seen as a less valuable indicator. However, is historical volatility actually useful to options traders? Can historical volatility be used as entry criteria to make more profitable options trades? In this video, we discuss a 10-year study that investigates the profitability of short straddles on the S&P 500. We divide the short straddles into four buckets based on the implied volatility and historical volatility relationship when the trades were entered: 1. VIX at a 50% premium to the 20-day historical volatility 2. VIX at a 25-50% premium to the 20-day historical volatility 3. VIX at a 0-25% premium to the 20-day historical volatility 4. VIX below the 20-day historical volatility In this video, you'll learn which of these entries was most profitable, and which was the least profitable. READ: https://www.projectoption.com/blog/historical-volatility-options-traders Subscribe to Our Newsletter! http://eepurl.com/ctvR6P Subscribe to Our Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYOHtOzMZGwXBLZX1Ltf78g?sub_confirmation=1 Sign Up for FREE & Gain Access to 47 Top-Notch Options Trading Guides: https://www.projectoption.com/register-free Sign Up for PREMIUM to Gain Access to Our Options Strategy Research, Live Trading Portfolio, & Real-Time Trade Alerts: https://www.projectoption.com/about-premium

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    Additional Information:

    Visibility: 71

    Duration: 12m 49s

    Rating: 2