you said that it seems like random has memory. would love to hear more about your findings
Hey just wanted to say thank you, because I have spent more than 10 years trying to do technical analysis. It's all coin flipping.
dude, we need updates, please
I win 9 out of every 10 trades, I dont believe that is random. I believe it is 90%psychological and 10% Technicals. Ive been using a fibo strategy that has inflated my accounts whilst mitigating most of my risk. I also know other fellow traders that are just as savvy as i am on these charts. Its 100% possible to win all trades. If you are in the 5% of profitable traders in the world, You will know that history repeats itself which isn't random nor are the constant price levels the candles continue to flow towards. Wait for the right set up and boom, you will be in profit every time.
what's the connection between randomness and trading, profitability? You base your argument on that because market is random, so there is no way to predict future. But traders don't predict future, like me.I don't say I can predict the future. But it doesn't say I can't make money out of it.
Random or not, it's a probability and educational calculation, based on which I trade. Think about the 50/50 coin toss. We all know it's random, in the long run. But you are saying you have never seen heads five times in a row? It's not about randomness. It's about profiting while your probability lasts.
What's true is that no matter who tells you that he/she can predict the future is bullshit.
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Thank you for the Videos they are also helpful but one need an insight because
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Nice! Please say what to do,NOT what is useless.
THose SR you drawing them wrong, do you know something about volume? Supply and demand which is creating SR?
You probably never succed, thats why you think this. I would like to watch video but I cant listen you as stilll repeatinf, some word 5 times till you say it.
This here ladies and gentalmen is the effect of a psychological issue called fear of trading (FOT). Closely related to fear of failure or fear of success. So now you dont have to trade mate!
ROFL you are so fucking clueless. Go back to your day job and enjoy the shit money you make!
people don't like to hear this because they still like to think that it's possible to be a millionaire, with bedroom skills...
I say this to people who don't think it's random in short intervals, the next time you go to the gas station look at all the people putting fuel in, can you guess the exact order they are loading up on? chance is you might get 1 or 2 exact our of 10, but most of the time you are wrong, the message is, you don't know the order size or direction of the person sat at a bank/fund hlaf way around the world, who he had just been speaking too and what bid/offer is going to be made. the fact that you assume every one will be a buyer, at X level and thinking the same as you bevauae a indicator says so is delusional
I guess this is a big mistake. I am also a programmer since a few decades - and I am an active FOREX trader since 2009. The Excel random number generator is a determinsitic pseudo number generator based on statistical distribution mechanisms. Lets see it like rhimes being read by kids. You will always get number series which "rhime" on previous series. And it depends on the alogrithm how long the sentences are between the rhimes. Good algos create sentences which are so long that you can hardly find the "rhime". Guess how good the EXCEL algo is :). So the outcomes will be a scattered waveform (aka "rhime") between the two extremes -2.2 and 2.2. I think you may guess the conclusion: The random numbers are kind-of-a structure which is then represented in the price-waves. The only way to avoid this distortion of your results is to use a physical random number generator (not so easy to come by). It is SURE that there are levels in the market. And it is SURE that humans are acting in a similar way which produces these levels. Of course there are millions of humans acting using different models, timeframes etc.! But just let us call it "collective intelligence" based on our stone age brain. .... BTW - Fundamentals in FOREX (unless it is REALLY BIG news for the currency like a war or a hyperinflation) are BS. Fundmentals just take the market where the PA technicals are predicting it to be. Also, fundamentals are mostly dangerous for intraday traders, because of the volatility. It jumps up, jumps down, Then halts a short time and continues in the technical direction. Or it immediately follows the technical direction or immediately breaks through a structure (where it "settled down" immediately before the news). I've seen it that often now, I can't count it!
You think Elliott Waves are also created out of randomness ?
I disagree in one Point . The base of randomness . It exists . A big Pivot if you want.
Thank you so much from Germany. But i won Stock market games ... Based on sweet spots. But i have to admit it only worked in trending markets. And not forex. But i AGREE with you 100 percent.
Richard, you are wrong. You dont understand the basic concept of trading. How can somebody be so naive that he thinks that only analysis of past prices can predict future - this is absolutely false premise and its clear that you must fail in long run. TA is there only to help you understand market reactions on real world events. Nothing more and nothing less. TA alone without being connected to real world is random. But forex is representation of real bids and asks on the market. Imagine extreme fictional case. If there would be war in US it would affect forex and in wont be random. Predicting war would be possible. Predicting trend movement of forex is therefore also possible. TA can help you to calibrate and optimise your action, but you wont predict a war just by looking at TA. No offence, but your video is useless, you are proving what was obvious to me when i was 17years old starting to learning things about markets and forex. You are a trader that trade useless numbers instead of trading economic reality. No wonder, that 99% of traders are loosing if they are trading random noise in the markets.. and thats good, because those people do not deserve their money if they do not fully understand what they are doing.
I have traded on and off for 8 years, my first time trading I turned 2,000 into 28,000 dollars, the next year, the last six months of the year, I made 10,000 into 79,000, actually 96, but took a big loss at the end of the market. Three years, I made option trades here and there when charts were set up. This year, after a years break and working on another business, I started trading my 30,000 dollar account and my mother's 12,000 dollar account in May. I've turned my mother's 12,000 dollar account into 43,242.16, and I turned my 30,000 int 85,382
The problem with your random theory is that computers make up 90% of trading and computers aren't random, there's trends. Between May to today, I traded 32 dow mini contracts, total cost 96 dollars for the trading, I lost 1000 points and made 2234 Points, each point is 5 dollars of value, I made 50% of the account in just those trades. I got short Corn in the end of May as my 3rd trade in corn so 9 dollars spent on the position, Lost 12 cents, made 84 cents Trading 5 contracts, and then pyramiding as trend formed, when I got out, I had 15 contracts ranging from 84 cents, 51 cents , and 9 cents, or another 50% of my account. All of these were from my system that is 100% on the price movement. It studies Macro price movements in converse markets, to determine market action in general.
would love to hear more about your findings